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The credit card industry heads into the new year without a single dramatic turning point. Adjustments to the sector strategies, including richer premium cards and the continuing influence of technology on cards, are piecemeal. Then there are the cards that focus on everyday use.
One theme that comes through after conversations with several longtime industry observers is that the community is not in lockstep. It is in motion along several paths all at the same time.
Installment features, digital wallets, AI tools, and new funding models are crosscurrents that blur the very definition of what a credit card is.
Here is what experts say to expect from the credit card industry in 2026.
Premium Cards Are Getting Bigger and More Targeted
Premium credit cards will not slow down. Many issuers plan deeper bets on affluent customers — those who seek value and accept higher fees.
Barclays executive Doug Villone said he expects more launches and refreshes. There will be a strong focus on co-brand programs.
“We’re going to continue to see premium cards come to the market,” Villone said. “There will be additional co-brand programs. So think airlines, hotels, cruises, etc. There will be premium cards as a suite of those co-branded products.”
MilesTalk CEO Dave Grossman sees issuers that speak more plainly about who these cards serve.
“I really think we’re just going to continue to see a lot more wrangling at the high end,” Grossman said. “Richer offerings. I think we’re going to see things that really do pay back quite a bit to the consumer.”
“We’re going to continue to see premium cards come to the market,” Barclays executive Doug Villone said.
Grossman also noted a shift toward perks paid for by partners rather than issuers.
“If the issuer can offer a really big benefit and not pay for it and collect the big annual fee and the consumer is getting the benefit, it’s kind of an everyone wins thing,” he said.
The result will be a narrower but deeper premium segment that focuses on customers who use perks.
Simple Cards Will Hold Ground Against Coupon Book
Not every consumer will want complexity. Many experts see a bigger divide that pits highly engaged users vs. consumers who prefer a plain card.
CardCon Founder Jason Steele says weariness with overstuffed perk cards will continue to spread.
“I still think there’s a large part of the market that likes simplicity,” Steele said. “I frequently encounter fairly well-off consumers who refuse to pay an annual fee.”
Some issuers will resist a move toward endless perks.
“I do see many card issuers sort of resisting that,” Steele said. “Others are diving in. And we’ll see which strategy wins. The market will decide.”
Steele expects a split based on habit and interest. Not on income.
“Maybe the market will be divided between the high engagement reward card users who maximize their benefits and the low engagement who stick to the lower or no annual fee cards,” he said.
Installments and Wallet Use Will Become Standard
Credit cards will have features that had been once only available from other tools. Installment options will reside inside many card apps. Barclays Villone said he expects wallet tap use as well as installment options inside card accounts to increase.
“Consumers continue to tap and transact in digital wallets at higher and higher rates,” he said.
“You’re going to continue to see credit cards offering the flexibility to take transactions either at acquisition or post transaction and be able to budget those and pay those installments over time,” Villone said.
“Consumers continue to tap and transact in digital wallets at higher and higher rates,” Villone said.
Cornerstone Advisors Senior Director Tony DeSanctis sees similar features in debit and prepaid cards.
“Klarna’s got a one million person waiting list for their buy now, pay later debit card,” DeSanctis said.
These tools will not replace credit cards. They will change how cards work and how people use them.
Capital One Faces a Pivotal Choice
DeSanctis said he expects Capital One to lean hard into debit strategy over the near term.
“I think they’re gonna lean heavily into the debit side of the equation here over the next six to nine months,” he said.
Ken Musante, Founder and President of Napa Payments and Consulting, also pointed to legal and rule changes that could reshape the plan.
“Capital One has an enormous opportunity,” Musante said. “If the reg two is struck down, to convert an enormous segment of debit card holders to a card that doesn’t have to play by the regulated debit rules.”
“It recognizes you by the app or some other recognition and identification and just allows you to seamlessly make the purchase,” he said.
How Capital One will handle its challenges will influence industry debate in 2026.
Risk, Compliance, and AI Take Priority
In spite of rewards and perks, risk will remain central. Javelin Strategy & Research executive Brian Riley said confidence could be fragile.
“There’s a lot of uneasiness,” Riley said. “That uneasiness turns into numbers like bank confidence in lending, consumers confidence in borrowing.” Riley added that he considers purchase data to be an early indicator.
“If people never put groceries on their credit card before and all of a sudden they revolve on milk and eggs, that’s a big flag,” Riley said.
Riley also addressed AI use with caution. “There’s a lot of neat stuff that will happen,” he said. “You have to be watchful for things like privacy. There are some boundaries you just can’t pass.”
Musante seconded those sentiments. His focus is on fraud pressure from AI tools plus the need for stronger controls.
Cards Backed By Assets Gain Traction
Totavi Founder Matthew Goldman said “I think there’s going to be a lot of home equity cards. This idea of consumers has assets tied up somewhere.”
He said home equity cards appeal both to issuers and customers.
“I can charge you less if I know there’s an asset I can recover should things go wrong,” Goldman said.
Current examples include Mesa which links rewards to mortgage payments. In addition, the Fasten platform centers on auto costs and loans.
A Market That Continues to Split
Issuers that know their audience will stand the best chance of success. The credit card market may feel more divided than ever, as premium cards push higher and simple cards hold firm.
Installment tools, wallets, and AI will alter how cards are used.
Steele said: “Some people will upgrade every six months.” But they will likely be greatly outnumbered,
That divide will help define the path ahead.
